Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,716.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
10,789.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10789 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
35,431 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
19,330.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
8,372.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
Net sender
Unknown type
4,294.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023dD1dF191ab27Ce416dD916af1C130CbF9d33
Net sender
Unknown type
2,269.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 35,431 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
10,789.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:53:06 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
32,238.61 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:52:07 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
35,716.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:54:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:51:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:55:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:50:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:56:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:49:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,330.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
8,372.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a000b1fbb95da5001661b69405bf4b71b480bf6a90069f84168131d5ca028
2,269.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x0023dD1dF191ab27Ce416dD916af1C130CbF9d33
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f003bbb6633cc861abc8d459de36f88c17635f0b2a7d517ce9de38c52f5d1
1,163.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003500754951b7d5e2f22a2a5180d7849ff3af971ccad9abe15b973392f0141e
4,294.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b003bf70187cec742c0fe66c53498f5483fa0ee1aa0d4139d9e3ec3a5b24f
19,330.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660016514429cd9526cc7a638abbd4ea5a64811127d0f4927045e0d8729c76
285.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x0037002b3f2039b8b5874fd6a4bef80079f8374b4dfff209a27b21d1a5171569
