Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 10:15:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,829.26
Unexplained QUAI: 703.32
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
4.9x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
31
Observable rows
10
32.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
40
Asset volume
2,532.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2533 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,829.26 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,061.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
314.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
259.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006b325dc450fdb6b46e11dF80d20Af3ce1CC128
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
31 tx
2,532.58 QUAI • 40 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:15:07 P.M.
-1 min
19 tx
517.61 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:14:06 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
1,829.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:16:06 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
797.11 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:13:07 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:17:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:12:06 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
8,081.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:18:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
7,615.2 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:11:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,061.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
46.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x002a00298c4a736b8a77374de6a9830a5530b95a6839eb3c94f88331f4ff552f
7.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
Tx: 0x0005005ce5b16bd9a4c0642f4c1c31774020835209a5a49da04110d5de7c876b
4.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x004f007b48c996f5167e900da5f175647f49efc0296a3cfa2fcab2cd44009d7e
259.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0069002bdf4f2336892bf8c86ace0f68149532233438c5501083061995cc038b
103.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b325dc450fdb6b46e11dF80d20Af3ce1CC128
Tx: 0x004f00259470ed4096ab4d83cbda91bf890d923f6861d906a66e04ada5dee66e
1,061.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x0024004e18cd9fe6f8cb80489494a990b92649e6b7ef5f5f8c828d0fc066e2c5
314.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0036005702e6e00b2c59fd72f77507cbecea4e616f16da0095ba7fd648aad94d
6.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x007c000b2a4a716026a913fedde908817e6e407e5ab8596b854a4fe93ba32d98
16.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007B21A498602CF061B0007f01967731a34F578E
Tx: 0x003b00722de8e8e5854cfc088cb608732262a8d9bf747cb32d584082532387b0
7.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x00250038beab7484a0ac2f9c7cea08ea32df21c0df951a55504056895973aadc
