Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,476.57
Unexplained QUAI: 12,936.56
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
18
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
21,413.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 21413 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,469.88 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
781.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net sender
Unknown type
750.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Net sender
Unknown type
722.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
Net sender
Unknown type
720.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
3 repeated flows • 4.01 QUAI
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,469.88 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
21 tx
21,413.12 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:24:06 P.M.
-1 min
14 tx
32,087.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:23:06 P.M.
+1 min
28 tx
13,498.71 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:25:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
425,137.58 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
6,963.8 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:26:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:21:06 P.M.
+3 min
11 tx
3,135.39 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:20:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
781.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
555.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x007D573b4c5755EE22648833FB7DE703d90D7B05
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014004d8270f3d74cae0745596667ebd3a1106c4c96fcd3ed7b6d36f5818f02
512.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0075986689b39506BF4a150B4C5b91872d8Bf8B3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900215b4159c637563633cf06e72f41a8994c6e7ceeea85c09d9f1e8e065f
559.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0066006c19433233d4ef736babcb821cb8cc8de7c838d951feeac217e4f61a26
579.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800019fc956afb2a46d227b39a10a42ff2e9aadb982835c6901273330a5a0
539.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x00678D59C90247446Fb2Eb13B6a4dA4939561d35
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e00719af60d7dbca6a1d1db6d6ca7d8fb156fe76db4657aa9fcd9648ba319
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004e00535d404f93019581ed7a559fc819d24088b274d46a371e9e30bcb8a613
638.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:24 P.M.
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c001f181305f9fa19b664d27d7ea004fa43805fc930513a99adb74a6566f5
702.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:20 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005004f3cf6cbd4695c4238f2aeb8ee03f3c07d16de7f2d67ec25af7c2b164c
687.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:20 P.M.
From: 0x0037761902BB1b499880af282f01b527D3f79F50
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a004211072c4805cb752a54e0367ffd9718c9d1a1850e5af919108614af06
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:20 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001500465e580e51fc02266e6240be9d0b10df88586594d018051153d9b2b53d
719.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:13 P.M.
From: 0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0024ee45e86ba6039038f6e7b116ab678188c53a6f8a2e664753e5e0723c
720.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:13 P.M.
From: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060014c1e7690cad352103c5428e838754ecbc7c60346427c42adb92956599
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:13 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005a007f01d1866e8dfca6b09d729923e97d9481ef80843e5518ee83868915ed
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x0053004699e07a6a66785a330104e33c7c09d207c5b8691470e418261ceb262c
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x004b005d28c8739d6778ae2c3e25959d1de780a0fa9765f92a352375626ee563
750.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00520079621bddb4237365629b685046e3cc3185a1fdc7593618771e2dd22437
781.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490037321cfb739c2912b6764aff30a73b20da3eeb4d7c82d85fabb1383f30
722.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00600065e9d7f1394aea217a90efaeb6edf9c20af6a9ed4ec01cab2dc873275f