Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:49:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 132.63
Unexplained QUAI: 14,867.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.4x previous minute
113x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
15,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Net sender
Unknown type
83.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
83.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005492af346505fEA8a50748B2aB77417C3a9E4
Net sender
Unknown type
49.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062bab793644Db6ECd264bBE29E21ffD39a94Eb
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
15,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:49:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
36,967.71 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:48:06 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
132.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:50:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
3,862.71 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:47:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:51:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:46:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:52:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
22,037.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:45:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
83.48 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:49:07 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
83.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:49:07 P.M.
From: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002200409422bd880d4f40e9e920428ce61281f952d8c33845ea4a307cdd6864
49.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:49:07 P.M.
From: 0x0005492af346505fEA8a50748B2aB77417C3a9E4
To: 0x0062bab793644Db6ECd264bBE29E21ffD39a94Eb
Tx: 0x00750028e0b857cf6f38a601143fe7b33059381f296b448b0dc98626f6f8ccc1