Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:08:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,556.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,744 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x005Ca1BF1dcB1d3816C26BD55897346Ea2b930e2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3744 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x005Ca1BF1dcB1d3816C26BD55897346Ea2b930e2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
6,552 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x005Ca1BF1dcB1d3816C26BD55897346Ea2b930e2
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,574 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0065A1eACb98C7BE229ab5d4eC954693b37391B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,638 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007A8cA372B2E6E96DC61c7A6C9c81d3bD946E0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,170 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002DE81B762aA6f031f9FBD8ac5aA90EAB5ce457
Net receiver
Unknown type
936 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
3,744 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:08:06 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
4,275.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
6,556.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:09:06 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
20,529.18 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,678 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:10:06 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
25,079.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
22,972.96 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:11:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
20,467.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,574 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x005Ca1BF1dcB1d3816C26BD55897346Ea2b930e2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
4.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:53 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0054007b40b0160c6ffdc93e34e997b9e05a3950da1fcae5583aaabf137fb7cb
1,638 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:53 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0065A1eACb98C7BE229ab5d4eC954693b37391B0
Tx: 0x00750047448c4961a5d29a749393a1eae628b4c7ee5311bd387b2f2cf107d8a7
2,574 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x005Ca1BF1dcB1d3816C26BD55897346Ea2b930e2
Tx: 0x00530053033cf4f349061a294285d274d8662c1540c4f27cca1bbfe2ce412b74
1,170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:13 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007A8cA372B2E6E96DC61c7A6C9c81d3bD946E0d
Tx: 0x00570027236ed9985efce7eae449a56456dc741edcde7e7c69a098cc333cb637
936 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:13 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002DE81B762aA6f031f9FBD8ac5aA90EAB5ce457
Tx: 0x00560024be423c5524a91e91e70133db92b0c474fa1e97d67c3e79b9c1825b91
234 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0062c2500A84137c61aCB6930Cbc36124B4E2141
Tx: 0x000f004bda67c21b5eae14918bf972a9f7fed2edd0a1b5f90795dd7040cf6f3d