Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:07:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
99% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,212
Unexplained QUAI: 63.56
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
4,275.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x002D2BC56F30BE6665020A04dDdfE09Bf29144ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4276 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x002D2BC56F30BE6665020A04dDdfE09Bf29144ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
4,212 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002D2BC56F30BE6665020A04dDdfE09Bf29144ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,872 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000cf2683eD1a86Fa59421d2f10ff37bcC3CbeB6
Net receiver
Unknown type
936 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000e2Def61a5e95615025CF65D38A7fB9825aA65
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00378819E2dF962Cc787421f7D11BC4dAA0E66D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
4,275.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
20,529.18 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,744 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:08:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate6 tx
25,079.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
6,556.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:09:06 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
20,467.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,678 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:10:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,872 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002D2BC56F30BE6665020A04dDdfE09Bf29144ca
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x000e2Def61a5e95615025CF65D38A7fB9825aA65
Tx: 0x0016004253f616eed4c6d43b64b84b3977efadfae07a7a6b58f5a813394e1122
1,872 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:38 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002D2BC56F30BE6665020A04dDdfE09Bf29144ca
Tx: 0x0071005dbc8d469e986f2915abdaff80751469679e2c526552e6e12d6c9b421c
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:29 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x00378819E2dF962Cc787421f7D11BC4dAA0E66D4
Tx: 0x0011000c13daaa57b6184491bf1b72f7653ccb122ca0077ca7e881e2cde342da
936 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:20 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x000cf2683eD1a86Fa59421d2f10ff37bcC3CbeB6
Tx: 0x002c00523acf511ad0c36244afcd5e185d3998c719c5d0763d2e7973d0185449
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007b62F256B5118d0c54EF3f6f2104d3336a5bC1
Tx: 0x00100037253e1a9f3ce303cb88effed71eb48466fee033c4a1967f31f990891d