Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:06:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,807.56
Unexplained QUAI: 16,721.62
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.8x previous minute
4.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
20,529.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7 • 0x0038A44bf8EE5795846661cF37EE5756a8A82b36.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20529 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7 • 0x0038A44bf8EE5795846661cF37EE5756a8A82b36.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net sender
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038A44bf8EE5795846661cF37EE5756a8A82b36
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
702 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00352832709c8041Df24027e642f1b43Ccfe2C4d
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001d424f81Ba6dAccf4D895539F5e4FCA7C0e077
Net receiver
Unknown type
234 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
20,529.18 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
25,079.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
4,275.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
20,467.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,744 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:08:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,556.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:09:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
To: 0x0038A44bf8EE5795846661cF37EE5756a8A82b36
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
234 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:54 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x001d424f81Ba6dAccf4D895539F5e4FCA7C0e077
Tx: 0x003a00203d498bb94714eb0cb4aa248f0ffc10e8d5cf558b32a443aaf903e1a3
105.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:36 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x0036002cbd49c940d873d1f623d14dc9b9119a8a99d4cfb1594d548085ab91b8
3,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:36 P.M.
From: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
To: 0x0038A44bf8EE5795846661cF37EE5756a8A82b36
Tx: 0x007e00661ef7c46950340d783f6d43ea4cb42cfe663d57507d418c4b9c8b35fd
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:36 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x00352832709c8041Df24027e642f1b43Ccfe2C4d
Tx: 0x00390057d499be94872dc325e17ab215048e52364a0c071716b0164dde1dcb51