Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:05:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
82% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,529.18
Unexplained QUAI: 4,550.3
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
25,079.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25079 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
10,530 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041F3c6b139639e8036dBB4E5ad2f8D1fDbBB63
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,914 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00508dE789744b8E8c70d761a567D9690c7b61fb
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,510 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
25,079.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
20,467.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
20,529.18 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
4,275.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
3,744 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:08:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
468 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:01:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
9,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x0021003c1dd6a92cc2feb5ffe1d8aebac5ae5e85d805e6f29511d198c494e090
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0000893b35C02e8d0aEaeB4Ce3B9f1aa35168c8F
Tx: 0x0048004eb8ba5c5e774d70976778d645d7b89298ff53a2388ba0b583aca88a6e
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x004d70bf351206d46D881105eBD8A8a3C9978716
Tx: 0x000500097e76e60a970f725b11495c6bc485f97b72c78fa4d5d5b35dbea1bc51
3,510 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x00508dE789744b8E8c70d761a567D9690c7b61fb
Tx: 0x002200769b66b4dd224ea93de86698d788bc60bfc802ae6ecd92def329eb0457
4,914 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0041F3c6b139639e8036dBB4E5ad2f8D1fDbBB63
Tx: 0x0044005e770ef187e6c466ccfac372222cb707931b62ca30df265266ee005063
1,170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:05:14 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x004883555036122C3285856db4F7D3F2891ddf26
Tx: 0x004e0027435beb1df8826a01fe525b53b4f7ea8bc408d01f5e7d69dcc71a537e
