Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,546.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
20,467.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20467 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
3,510 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,467.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
25,079.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
20,529.18 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
468 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:01:06 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
4,275.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
3,277.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:00:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:55 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0016abD796F75171192f107ef25A79451a3e0548
Tx: 0x0036001075a981c9fcecf2a3f24d538602880f76fe1eb6b57218a4d3d9a10193
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:55 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007D48f567454a0a98d46704cf9bE83Cf1dFD1b8
Tx: 0x007f00480b7f65abb22ab55926c97aff036df20780c38ae25a9b40568fe450ba
1,170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x000dE8FD9A669179fC07C62515341B06eF3CBb64
Tx: 0x0048007a581a6b2e8b7150950547ff39ad49959c7ad259128257242fe2a11f98
19,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x003f0044b5d631adb45bffd71c7a3d11811972bbe7e765238574ea0dade73fbe
2,038.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:21 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x006c001a8cff10fcd1fe7c44800536f88e1a7ef554e318c94c2730777c7bed24
936 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:21 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0019C660f097559c286d6Ff5F65d6757d79E6d0B
Tx: 0x00380011ff2c3f0798c01e8dfb67048b169da722d78820ead8924f3feef6b1ca
19,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0062001a0b4270a685852b46edfa2c6a5b1228ba523e8cde29e3dd0466f5115f
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x005175e37ae595EE946169D38a6105fd25327B81
Tx: 0x000600122e51a624722898331ebfdafa84b5612c9629771e5cac621dc68ed893
