Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:00:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:01:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 468
Unexplained QUAI: 2,809.34
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
7.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
1
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3,277.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x000ed225305398D124181347fD0F1c0C199FaFF4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3277 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x000ed225305398D124181347fD0F1c0C199FaFF4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000ed225305398D124181347fD0F1c0C199FaFF4
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
3,277.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:00:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
8,658 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:59:06 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
468 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:01:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
4,914 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:58:06 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:57:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
937.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:56:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
468 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:00:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x000ed225305398D124181347fD0F1c0C199FaFF4
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:00:09 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x000ed225305398D124181347fD0F1c0C199FaFF4
Tx: 0x00630078f74d1351261021b23d0ca5a9e43d1e2df1410951b1fcfab537c65f10