Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:59:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,277.34
Unexplained QUAI: 5,380.66
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
1.8x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
8,658 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x00002A112200e627901783f22ee52224c4C252C5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8658 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x00002A112200e627901783f22ee52224c4C252C5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
3,276 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00002A112200e627901783f22ee52224c4C252C5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,638 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005CE954A6131E062781B1Bc7c562CaADbd89d94
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078F3Cc4De74781060ef420d0AB53CcB76e2bA9
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006972d72e72A40a2305c20281834F2BF0f6Cb8a
Net receiver
Unknown type
468 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
8,658 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:59:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4,914 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:58:06 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,277.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:00:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:57:06 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
468 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:01:06 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
937.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:56:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
4,109.34 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:55:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,638 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x00002A112200e627901783f22ee52224c4C252C5
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:38 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x005CE954A6131E062781B1Bc7c562CaADbd89d94
Tx: 0x002d0069cd5adfbb776b5bb4ffec74ca15f92087fbab2b8af2c79a828500ea99
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:38 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96
Tx: 0x00230017ed029f5f58510a55aa9d52575d5ca2501fe26e168a1145ae82774727
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:38 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x0078F3Cc4De74781060ef420d0AB53CcB76e2bA9
Tx: 0x007e0012ffca2f427682452a54e10f0952f786a8274c77f26ee7bef7ebee1949
468 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:14 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x006972d72e72A40a2305c20281834F2BF0f6Cb8a
Tx: 0x0061004596cb37b00ef3bc94985f0f7a7e0f6ef5c18665c939e1b6be7d31fde3
234 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:14 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007e5EAc325e6D1A8dbC87D274DA9BD2d5BA1BD0
Tx: 0x00310063a4fa410ebfe638070cdf5eef38978bae6827c8f17f2f73f48c49c83d
1,638 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:59:05 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x00002A112200e627901783f22ee52224c4C252C5
Tx: 0x007d004ef107c95ac5dada37d1fd7777b8035c7ff07d6ea22ac541a4b516f2d9