Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:55:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 1:56:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 937.34
Unexplained QUAI: 3,172
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
4,109.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x002348e77B427BB8Bd0f4d828186D8Da804C8Cc5.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4109 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x002348e77B427BB8Bd0f4d828186D8Da804C8Cc5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
936 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002348e77B427BB8Bd0f4d828186D8Da804C8Cc5
Net receiver
Unknown type
936 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
4,109.34 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:55:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
53,215.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:54:06 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
937.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:56:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:53:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:57:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:52:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
4,914 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:58:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
35,500 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:51:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
936 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:55:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002348e77B427BB8Bd0f4d828186D8Da804C8Cc5
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
936 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:55:14 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002348e77B427BB8Bd0f4d828186D8Da804C8Cc5
Tx: 0x00510078132a413e99f35e0569bcde057f497c03d5f66b1591e0bba848be4909
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:55:14 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0062005a98760c994c7a7157d0396e51698fbe631817a66b70f34877d20193f2