Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:54:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 1:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,109.34
Unexplained QUAI: 49,105.73
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
39802x previous minute
13x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
53,215.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x007bcab204D6d897DaFba9e3eC66B40D91b52aa3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 53215 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1 • 0x007bcab204D6d897DaFba9e3eC66B40D91b52aa3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
Net sender
Unknown type
4,108 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007bcab204D6d897DaFba9e3eC66B40D91b52aa3
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Ae5BfeEE1752A2c5a22Aa61a2B2805540a6a7
Net receiver
Unknown type
988 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007Be158d80E38721f7C93213c9f8D0C5aE0Bcf1
Net receiver
Unknown type
520 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
53,215.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:54:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:53:06 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,109.34 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:55:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:52:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
937.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:56:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
35,500 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:51:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:57:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:50:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,600 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:54:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007bcab204D6d897DaFba9e3eC66B40D91b52aa3
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:54:58 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002F42C7EF750b79C090E48b30AC02330c8aD3e7
Tx: 0x006c00562106eef8f7c7e25ce119ca10373a551f01da9f84d295453aecfd40b7
2,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:54:58 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007bcab204D6d897DaFba9e3eC66B40D91b52aa3
Tx: 0x00620038ce565399994e9a1b1259dbc5d48dd614dfc8179e356bbb1b27f885de
988 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:54:58 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x002Ae5BfeEE1752A2c5a22Aa61a2B2805540a6a7
Tx: 0x0058002004c7d665e826b7d707bd14c39a7dd60abfd0471fd8f7016854c01cba
520 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:54:07 P.M.
From: 0x0039821E8175AC67eBa6421891FceBf976044ad1
To: 0x007Be158d80E38721f7C93213c9f8D0C5aE0Bcf1
Tx: 0x00380013ff92e0858baa7ee60b4bb0108d7597b47d03e36568a7815626a27c63