Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30.3
Unexplained QUAI: 4,989.3
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.3x previous minute
248x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
5,019.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x002514F48A4A442A4445226030a59Cb092b3705f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5020 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x002514F48A4A442A4445226030a59Cb092b3705f.
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 -> 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
30.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002514F48A4A442A4445226030a59Cb092b3705f
Net receiver
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 → 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
2 repeated flows • 0.3 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
5,019.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:45:06 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
3,740.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:44:06 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:46:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,971.05 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:43:06 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,038.3 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:47:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:42:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
157.8 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:48:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:41:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:45:55 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x002514F48A4A442A4445226030a59Cb092b3705f
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:45:55 P.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x002514F48A4A442A4445226030a59Cb092b3705f
Tx: 0x0011004ae506c17aff4b6eac42ad249e41ca1da6b7178327792f6fb9217fe3b8
0.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:45:55 P.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x007c005926b9ffb425aadf20c2a5ca6697b5096ed41be631d2b67dec95930e1e
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x004d0070c8617d0c1f9a2e0db21d8c3388de989797501de7bd70f209a0735988
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0058001109e9d1fbd49f40e059e42393e1f016e031f4ae530491523913779769