Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 11:47:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,994.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
19,999.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
49,994.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
29,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002adAa19d748eF1fae9663a2A746F9d057b2395
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.87 QUAI
From exchange: 29,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.15 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:47:05 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:46:06 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
50,994.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:48:06 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
23,399.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:45:06 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
38,097.87 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:49:06 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:44:06 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:50:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:43:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
29,996 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:47:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:47:51 A.M.
From: 0x002adAa19d748eF1fae9663a2A746F9d057b2395
To: 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
Tx: 0x0032006448f155f00c77afe017fd25eab124a7025a3eb1684daa6e5c0b159851
19,998.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:47:09 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038006551726b3070067fc2ec19006a31f7e4b7d5c1d7dae3b9c9fb2befa83b
29,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:47:09 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x007100630a3c2b7e7c0792d693e9ae0bcfec9f92795b942dbb4462bbf5caceec