Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 11:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 11:20:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 11:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 585.94
Unexplained QUAI: 300.55
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
169x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
886.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 886 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 11:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
585.94 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
Net sender
Unknown type
131.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
124.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
124.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 585.94 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
886.49 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:20:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5.25 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:19:06 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
585.94 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:21:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
885 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:18:06 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1,450 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:22:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
20 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:17:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,459.66 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:23:06 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,011.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:16:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
131.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
124.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0001d5d03319d7bc08a0107d48c5c11ded5837fb4b009cc907cf8b1a8526
101.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064001cf74c2ccfc6f71a0c330b93c2cf2d0536f28e101d257e31bf158e6d0a
124.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0018f5d3b2675fec9992eb2cc30f6d7bedd9621c5b67aae41c6e04007cde
131.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f0011005b074cf8bc8925685f8055fe66984fd931de40e22642815a637902
103.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007001e75b1e1ea5d4508a8211120de8b647e4836c2d0920664b287217ad475