Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
91% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,025.02
Unexplained QUAI: 3,594.12
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
429x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
38,619.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 38619 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
34,893.02 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
9,237.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0016F5bDeF26D68eF1DD175F444Cd5378FE05F8C
Net sender
Unknown type
2,113.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
1,842.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,893.02 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
38,619.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:53:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
90 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:52:05 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
34,893.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:54:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
61 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:51:06 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:50:05 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:56:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:49:06 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 10:57:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,842.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0053312fb3154c169ad93b15320be3f4a7adf1c39c40649cfa3e0b2da4ba
2,113.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x0016F5bDeF26D68eF1DD175F444Cd5378FE05F8C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004700163360d3df4a11a820ac418a266c5c3027ce71a228c419cbecb3eaca1c
1,700.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072001e8781b14e350fc4d2627720fdd01de39e4df803bed6bdaf9893fb5358
19,999.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290003d9bda11bd95cf1133087ff752a50ed0b0dbdc9848cf9f90edf58d37b
9,237.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043001a069742d34a5583d3ebf23c7fb7cdc8625e8a5f1e7d3a180d1ed3007c
132 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 10:53:02 A.M.
From: 0x004D8eA15455061c99957B07E3d9838fba05c6F1
To: 0x00311d5Dec0A57a60A6C055c4dB069c3dB390B88
Tx: 0x0072007a8ed4beeace66bd5098f176e0a6611659a01f538221c0f106f41ed799