Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 7:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 98.65
Unexplained QUAI: 1,219.14
Explained QI: 614.67
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
13x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,317.79 QUAI
614.67 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1318 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
614.68 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
614.68 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
Net sender
Unknown type
98.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020829972016017D9D2B5d272fefEC8a7D3233e
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
2 repeated flows • 614.67 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
1,317.79 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:16:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:15:06 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
98.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:17:06 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate52 tx
5,214.66 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:14:07 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,543.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:18:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:13:06 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:19:06 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,201.7 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/22/2026, 7:12:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
307.42 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 7:16:51 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
307.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 7:16:51 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0033000424572321588391247316902518a6536cd96a7071efece5eb2b18dff8
98.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 7:16:21 A.M.
From: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
To: 0x0020829972016017D9D2B5d272fefEC8a7D3233e
Tx: 0x0054007205e0adf4260cc640ff989a66057000e2dd839d3878162ad3b33c84c2
307.25 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 7:16:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x005100672e70711478f7a00d345fba16e4669c698351b9c86d24db357a2d1511