Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 6:21:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 658.29
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
658.29 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6 • 0x0030A376871025A7FE6fdF0A7543f0A699ada32c.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6 • 0x0030A376871025A7FE6fdF0A7543f0A699ada32c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6
Net sender
Unknown type
46.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0030A376871025A7FE6fdF0A7543f0A699ada32c
Net receiver
Unknown type
46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:21:06 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
48 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:20:06 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
46.46 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:22:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:19:06 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
355 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:23:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:18:06 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
93,903.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:24:06 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
1,631.36 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/22/2026, 6:17:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
46 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 6:21:19 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6
To: 0x0030A376871025A7FE6fdF0A7543f0A699ada32c
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
0.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 6:21:28 A.M.
From: 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x003c00321c3e2f508ec54b26e5fb4058d70bd30a08ff4567c857460bde37ab50
46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 6:21:19 A.M.
From: 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6
To: 0x0030A376871025A7FE6fdF0A7543f0A699ada32c
Tx: 0x007e006607f2173ce3f4e698ce0fc922793443c3b8e959ae7a5f7ca9a76c3e8a
0.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 6:21:19 A.M.
From: 0x00316199b0b3dDc046406A4DE6906feF245F6AE6
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x004c00483f100dab466946389b7c601f55eeb09d32720e35a45041eb612461c0
