Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 3:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 3:19:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,597.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 700.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
11x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,900 QUAI
700.11 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3900 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 3:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
4,597.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,597.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
Net sender
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000020C9aFf35D8499E204b7902EdE626EeA842
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
700.12 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
2 repeated flows • 700.11 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,900 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:19:06 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
339.23 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:18:06 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
7,597.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:20:06 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
9,179.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:17:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
18,113.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:21:06 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
1,057.33 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:16:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:22:06 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 3:15:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,597.24 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:19:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:19:55 A.M.
From: 0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
To: 0x0000020C9aFf35D8499E204b7902EdE626EeA842
Tx: 0x00640031ed557c6f671c995b673bb6d64dde9895a2d5dd26fa315f53eb5a324d
350.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x003700255957951c523d4fc371caf124949a0a1664df8e77b10a22ddd29b1d0a
4,597.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x00390036ab62db1ba3fd725e2630a1571aac45dbbbf59183126055486bed560a
349.94 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 3:19:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x002400347270fa0943b216b017a2f884ae7bd9e94f2b9ba9f1302a2ac99f8087
