Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 796.89
Unexplained QUAI: 1,469.13
Explained QI: 703.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,266.02 QUAI
703.38 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0070635eB1538997ac1eD4c91628F4fea145B55a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2266 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0070635eB1538997ac1eD4c91628F4fea145B55a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
796.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070635eB1538997ac1eD4c91628F4fea145B55a
Net receiver
Unknown type
796.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
703.39 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
703.39 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
2 repeated flows • 703.38 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2,266.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:53:06 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
4,146.1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:52:06 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
796.89 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:54:06 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate20 tx
36,449.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
6,483.71 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:55:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:50:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:56:05 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
19,010.5 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:49:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
796.89 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:53:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0070635eB1538997ac1eD4c91628F4fea145B55a
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
351.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:53:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x005b003ea3c936ed77a9694c1727dd9dec29b32759e43949a8983a35ba16c685
351.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:53:33 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x006a006358ca3c9c1bcd7759b5c35e97bb1c7d60a69e4fe73e99f2dabd2cae7a
796.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:53:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0070635eB1538997ac1eD4c91628F4fea145B55a
Tx: 0x000a004e980054fdea1cbe777c1e5047998376fa3a56b46156586230253c3212