Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:35:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,848.47
Unexplained QUAI: 44,518.18
Explained QI: 347.7
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
2.0x previous minute
7.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
51,366.64 QUAI
347.7 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 51367 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,228.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,507.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,488.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,334.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
Net receiver
Unknown type
720.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
51,366.64 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:35:06 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
25,161.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:34:06 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
6,848.47 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:36:06 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
5,154.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:33:06 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
6,809.83 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:37:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate37 tx
63,096.98 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
+3 min
20 tx
11,195.26 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:38:06 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
5,084.76 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:31:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,507.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
720.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
Tx: 0x001a004b58ed440058780a86a5042b117e85a995c6ede961df6f96ef191bdb20
153.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004E268B19eAA2e9747df088A8C21B6732668C34
Tx: 0x0011002237c236a78c5e256bf7b5db6a65820bcbef754693de2c568a4daa15ab
347.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:24 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0044007bb743b69fac0abe8bde9dc550f2dfc8d9ae2427cd114994a4adb3cde3
3,507.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1
Tx: 0x00020044da37a8aa947a532037ac67981eb06364fa65bf1b19eb473e1582e849
2,334.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x00430019241a008136caedc1d04180d13db67649fdb103e2a7484c1620414063
108.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:22 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x006a27E63Dd6091322285ea6DFa62A318c5F308e
Tx: 0x005400080fa809c351e2363f89066baff8e7201cb3570f804b6c6ce2bed2d355
24.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:35:22 A.M.
From: 0x006a27E63Dd6091322285ea6DFa62A318c5F308e
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0075007ed04292dba25023ed1bd128c9d6cd4043b6a23cad5bfee35d8a315540
