Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,154.96
Unexplained QUAI: 57,942.02
Explained QI: 1,037.36
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
12x previous minute
12x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
11
29.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
63,096.98 QUAI
1,037.36 QI
Avg confidence
70.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 63097 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,634.37 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,520.6 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,699.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,037.36 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,037.36 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
3 repeated flows • 1,037.36 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate37 tx
63,096.98 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
5,084.76 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:31:06 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
5,154.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:33:06 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,286.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:30:06 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
25,161.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:34:06 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
27,984.97 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:29:06 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
51,366.64 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:35:06 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
7,909.84 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:28:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,699.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
346.25 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:59 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x007f0026c4f9176c6cd68c5c78317656d17e7ba4227525bd0203d73c79e7aecf
625.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x007c0030fd39c7e810fe6f1251c5aaa902898e25cc3765cd225390c11c3aea12
128.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004A8D7b3349bf6b2ccf0cE2324A0f9CD6EeCcF1
Tx: 0x007a006d3fadc232670df9c0967881d0767459818e2880d0cca7068d8dd43859
255.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x001f00715a90511963ea6a6af8015d8936e67480ea87c95b19c85d10e1027ba0
746.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x005a00263b0f01a38067e143225934c3b4c2827967bd7ccd63e203242ce8a613
345.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0019003b746efb4b5874add45967ad21e62c75a44dfcaf867da894f3c4f54d79
681.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Tx: 0x0062006e75bb4c732bf62b262da59d0d2c4b50bb5e8a50d44810b31665bdbbb7
1,699.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Tx: 0x006c003f14f9c80e8ec41df77d1bc57251d3a733bf35623cd0b43c6ce363b027
436.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
Tx: 0x0052004a78e304f6edfb0612fbce50c85579f76a45b338677db7c7db8f277dda
581.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e7706c58686D000bD557c1D7677C3ac57B020
Tx: 0x002a0017216467e1dbb74734ecd27f635b0d5f1434c26551590d699d44789dfa
345.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:32:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0013004bded87e17220c9cce68188a823f3adeccad1c0c572abff866c5983d6c
