Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,296.93
Unexplained QUAI: 10,581.62
Explained QI: 344.19
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
12x previous minute
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
25,878.55 QUAI
344.19 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 25879 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
15,293.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,293.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
344.19 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
344.19 QI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
3.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
25,878.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:06:06 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
2,139.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:05:06 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
15,296.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:07:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:04:06 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:08:06 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
791.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:03:06 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:09:05 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 2:02:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,293.42 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
15,293.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:53 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x00220038bcf20edc5e1a519d8a33d15c7e5afecb392c0aaf13b761f0029c21bc
3.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:40 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0072003c62a99ba7d3674f3335ef51ae186d533c46ff2c970fa1d61160ea342c
344.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 2:06:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0020001becc2aa365b918ac0fd33b95c4b0db0d2b8869a222537d55dad2f9bc9