Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:38:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,273.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 353.85
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
24,273.34 QUAI
353.85 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24273 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
24,273.34 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006f7b3dE19bc4c07dEbC3B37918d47B01D6d219
Net sender
Unknown type
4,897.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
2,138.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D8cf747896514Af38C8E09d6eAa64e2F75d90
Net sender
Unknown type
1,990.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 24,273.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
24,273.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:38:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:37:06 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:39:05 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:36:05 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:40:06 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,139.1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:35:06 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
12,287.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:41:06 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
15,515.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:34:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,999.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
353.85 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x004d0045cd0bc9d142319e45f6a4d74129ae9395493bd03c9abe9608f20cc05a
247.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00240066f4c97108d1209e81847701ef9e99d16652984d0b8c33a1c513b9cf7a
2,138.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f006f908a9f0d7f0f1ade99e726546672061b51cd6d9c61a06fec2218ebed
14,999.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350039d101dfcf898cb8c3adcf79205aea5520824c2aa1494e249141708721
4,897.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x006f7b3dE19bc4c07dEbC3B37918d47B01D6d219
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180007114a5f9a28c7e46d7ae2301488574636c146d904c8e7fe835f5bbcd3
1,990.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x005D8cf747896514Af38C8E09d6eAa64e2F75d90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00220003361a2aad6ffac14ff8a381440f0ac41e8fbfcae39b35a94e7914b292