Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 1:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 1:29:00 A.M. to 07/22/2026, 1:30:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,436.9
Unexplained QUAI: 6,880.46
Explained QI: 357.29
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
479x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
8,317.36 QUAI
357.29 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 8317 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 1:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
1,436.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
Net sender
Unknown type
1,419.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
357.29 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
357.29 QI across 1 visible row
0x004F4087279eABB84b13d12781cfa62447500e3d
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,419.55 QUAI
From exchange: 17.35 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
8,317.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:29:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:28:06 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
17.35 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:30:06 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:27:06 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:31:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:26:06 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
61.75 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:32:06 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
201.53 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 1:25:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,419.55 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:29:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
357.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:29:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x00690002a7bc79f91b4162cd357e726b8ff21eb55581aaeca9d7ebe4a477d668
17.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:29:13 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004F4087279eABB84b13d12781cfa62447500e3d
Tx: 0x0048003fdcc6b7dd7a4d5e3992b71a560ffaeef1a2380719520c2a0a03ae5116
1,419.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 1:29:04 A.M.
From: 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0024c21e46b0cf9d83a903eb173099839bf0bfd60f50d0182c60e7f3cc8d