Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 11:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 11:58:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,785.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 367.19
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
367.19 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,785.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
Net sender
Unknown type
2,279.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,505.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
367.19 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
367.19 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,785.07 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:58:05 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:57:05 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
3,785.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:59:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,506 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:56:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 12:00:05 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,280 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:55:05 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2,139.3 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 12:01:05 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:54:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,279.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:58:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,505.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:58:54 P.M.
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500788ce06d3a69755e45a3a2a838f554889e700c116c93d2c0e1e7f353ec
2,279.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:58:54 P.M.
From: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074005d544586d4fc73f395732516e7d7bea5aea1e2523cb22d56610a73f4cc
367.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:58:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x00190044ac7e199b1302a284929c83098888ea782f12fe0e96f44ba5f772f478