Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 11:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 11:55:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,786
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 367.18
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
2,280 QUAI
367.18 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3 • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2280 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3 • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net sender
Unknown type
2,280 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,280 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
Net sender
Unknown type
1,506 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,506 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
367.19 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,280 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:55:05 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:54:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,506 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:56:05 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:53:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:57:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:52:05 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:58:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
17,240.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:51:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,280 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:55:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
To: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,506 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:55:42 P.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x00560063cbb42a8189601a4be62857f02b4e271c52a6a4afb6400547381959a3
367.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:55:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x005b00069afdfc4612f70c0609cbc7e74eadace655601cb72f7285d8c01e5872
2,280 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:55:03 P.M.
From: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
To: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
Tx: 0x003100699f7a711fbe0ad39aac799ba2cafbd56acc903f9a42883e92cdcc3ba8
