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Spike bucket

07/21/2026, 11:33:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/21/2026, 11:33:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:34:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

89% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 18,582.28

Unexplained QUAI: 2,241.3

Explained QI: 363.01

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume

Relative context

3.7x above local average

57x previous minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

20,823.58 QUAI

363.01 QI

Avg confidence

68.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 20824 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:33:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

18,582.28 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F

Net receiver

Unknown type

15,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,438.73 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,199.23 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07

Net receiver

Unknown type

944.32 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.