Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
57% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 832.72
Unexplained QUAI: 629.08
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 356.88
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,461.81 QUAI
356.88 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1462 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
832.72 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
372.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
293.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
1,461.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:15:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate55 tx
15,785.55 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:14:06 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
832.72 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:16:05 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,161.92 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:13:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:17:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:12:05 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
6,462.38 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:11:05 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:19:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
372.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
293.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004d0041e02b91bd6c9dc3db7fcad009fee472e7cd74662a75d1588087fbbfdd
9.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x00160013a09aa06a35addd7d52f844986ac65521e6a03e1d8a259dc994f58cf8
60.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Tx: 0x000e0045a3c17829945ba117c59b79c07d06d1a71c82c864d7599d038efde861
372.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0053000e8ea7066526cc4231a98e0a6c3c5a8407f313deca0cd450344b5872cd
6.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007608f689193F9111638cE5217112D01a13fb3A
Tx: 0x006700757065e1f4f35cfe0712c34c151b75187e54c3a078b25b8310cdf4fcc5
8.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x001c006237a9f3fa2801cebb03231213b6466eee170816c3eca24c56d4a701d7
56.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0061000024c9f9b824fae079b9058c54e753ff6bb90f8a0ce91b53de91c415d9
26.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:15:23 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007B21A498602CF061B0007f01967731a34F578E
Tx: 0x0033002ca22b52a5f113455ee62a46c481a4ab9809c63eeb1952146fadd6d187