Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 11:14:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,461.81
Unexplained QUAI: 14,323.74
Explained QI: 356.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
4.9x above local average
14x previous minute
11x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
7
12.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
15,785.55 QUAI
356.87 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007F62120651Daf74235EfEDe4a507466adFB207.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 15786 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007F62120651Daf74235EfEDe4a507466adFB207.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,461.81 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007F62120651Daf74235EfEDe4a507466adFB207
Net sender
Unknown type
700.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
356.88 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
356.88 QI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
269.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,461.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate55 tx
15,785.55 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:14:06 P.M.
-1 min
51 tx
1,161.92 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:13:06 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,461.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:15:05 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:12:05 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
832.72 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:16:05 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
6,462.38 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:11:05 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:17:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:10:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
700.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007F62120651Daf74235EfEDe4a507466adFB207
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
356.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x003f0051e47a063183356456ce11c62220eaa63fc0a06d495ee52d3d124c3cab
108.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010014b8871d3b950173f9d9644b298f5c92d5d53369b36fad65e2f9e4e437
112.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003400670022911c3cb117616edde67b5c723ef3fc5fc1c4d2818f609274ed01
120.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d000946f8b2c2a873c947d8389911f55b1d83b77478b8a4942e3e78e71c93
150.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028006ed6829cb17d3c208c9caf16f3e257f41597e918bc31fd3b4c79a6738d
700.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x007F62120651Daf74235EfEDe4a507466adFB207
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056004926d819d5f3712812901a7f7820ab88a1dddac38651301442fcee0173
269.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f00668180f1a4cee8d5be2cb2dc3836706518ec4eea65435055d651f3b8ed