Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 10:56:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 41,098.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350.36
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
7,569.78 QUAI
350.36 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7570 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
41,098.99 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
11,570.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
7,157.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00401Ab3bB553EC24D9D6bE4dBB6d3BA20A9e680
Net sender
Unknown type
2,371.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 41,098.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
7,569.78 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:56:05 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:55:05 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
41,098.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:57:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
7,570.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:54:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:58:05 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
21,824.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:53:06 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:59:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
44,190.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:52:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
350.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:38 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x00080039d86f3e30f4539c4eb89c7eaaa0cd41de0fd801293ec846b0f6f7c54a
11,570.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:09 P.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021000592b0b3dafd2bfd4e597f2baebf9326bbef8a1b3e710dc13858554475
2,371.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:09 P.M.
From: 0x00401Ab3bB553EC24D9D6bE4dBB6d3BA20A9e680
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0073561e905966e8491a7e06cd94cf5a3396ba28dbdfe858ba615d7f9786
7,157.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:09 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540057dfb881fe424f4e42063f359a6123671898b2128d9f98288f7d42b1cb
19,999.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:56:09 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a00502e9e4653307eb02846b2917455866d62e62af2ba95ce2b82857c2a94