Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 10:53:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,570.93
Unexplained QUAI: 14,253.48
Explained QI: 349.61
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
2.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
21,824.41 QUAI
349.61 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09 • 0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 21824 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09 • 0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
Net sender
Unknown type
7,570.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,570.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
349.62 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
349.62 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
21,824.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:53:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
44,190.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:52:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
7,570.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:54:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:51:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:55:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:50:05 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
7,569.78 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:56:05 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
41,098.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:57:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,570.93 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:53:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
To: 0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
349.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:53:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0025000bf9dcd205c7aad23f91196ffdf272dcf1b528a3cbe9530773296828a3
7,570.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:53:28 P.M.
From: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
To: 0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366
Tx: 0x00650015e59b4aa3a6f8c627e8e353c4329f415c3dd3acd88f0d9c867601a9b2