Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 9:17:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,014.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 646.72
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
646.72 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,014.54 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
17,349.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
646.73 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
646.73 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
Net sender
Unknown type
207.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
2 repeated flows • 646.72 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,014.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:17:05 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
64.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:16:05 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
18,014.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:18:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:15:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:19:05 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
5,354.53 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:14:06 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:20:05 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
713.21 QUAI • 70 addresses
07/21/2026, 9:13:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,349.37 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
323.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x00050015ef530813aab6fec01dc59d64fa0d799a62f777683232dc2661881508
110.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x002922399824325cA56319E9ba303Db170007076
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005000b625ec975e872c8dd039d925a9b731674e25736bfe0285c34b1b49314
130.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770072da3e3ce76a7d2dc415ed3dab109171fde9fb105efc80e47cd067eef2
207.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540069b795bd61a6a52c8ecf427cbd26964c15294b61db28df473da0f92b9a
17,349.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007004a0ecef7c1b5133f20eb286b373b8057ff936884093b044327b85cfafd
101.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00445b3cbdd6187061fe4abcc35fd8ae5ec3a38bfcc9be5912e2c36aab42
115.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:41 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d003d307f45c0d469e1e922f18eb7740459c284e268b1e773beaa20c2f49d
323.23 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0021002edf982eb42dae2495bfbec9d6817de58f4fa2a9944f4fbf48ea15dda8