Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 7:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 7:20:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 7:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 223.17
Unexplained QUAI: 97.62
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
320.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 321 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 7:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
223.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
119.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 223.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
320.79 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:20:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:19:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
223.17 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:21:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:18:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:22:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:17:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:23:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 7:16:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
119.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 7:20:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
103.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 7:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026001ba95788daa18140a53ffe815c40b213f7034ba32e3bfe776fb9bec436
119.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 7:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d00411d1f071defad9d4765df283f2310107ba62619fc6a9cc231eb8122f6