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Spike bucket

07/21/2026, 6:45:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/21/2026, 6:45:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
60% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,720
Unexplained QUAI: 5,105.76
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
12,825.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 • 0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 12826 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 • 0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowPartial source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Balanced
Unknown type
7,720 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0
Net sender
Unknown type
3,880 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,840 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

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Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

3,880 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:45:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
3,840 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:45:31 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Tx: 0x001a0038fe8d3f87209d7064b0a8ca030e1d79055157be671ace013fbb62f27d
3,880 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:45:15 P.M.
From: 0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x003c005c070ce7ebe2f7958e66becbd01adc97c12cbdc368b9d1686f4fab63f1