Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 6:16:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 706.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
380.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
326.21 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
257.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
140.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
Net sender
Unknown type
136.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 380.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:16:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
3,048.55 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:15:06 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
706.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:17:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:14:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:18:05 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
838.02 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:13:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:19:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:12:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
257.22 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
103.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:55 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061006197e599906f2ec6d2b08145368c622d64f809e9230bf629be1c77a600
140.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:52 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055007f54854cbbf3ada11bb1edec6abf0f2e8af707c4637e39dc6479830f58
136.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:52 P.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0026eeeac09f0cf579fc2271ca5cf957a5c25c2ba9f07a56aa974934ff92
5.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009872c2ba931482d4EE8041365832E020807C2
Tx: 0x00650042bc4e5fd8fcdb1787bc92843bd79e6b8594063e327fa6d58d4f21dce9
257.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00520024567e6d0cab20b255688f2617173ed330b3197312fbf9f8966ba73c7b
50.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x003500073d878727202364b8aa8de3ab37d68ff37664ef55cf91a81d50d2c4d8
7.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x002e002472c002fe06e90ee67171c79a3aacf8c4f685a0ec07ce36a6c9a9ab74
5.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:16:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007608f689193F9111638cE5217112D01a13fb3A
Tx: 0x0029003bfa1e00f0466420176b99d635ab40673beb0dddfc5df8b3c8768f9149