Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 5:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 5:15:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 5:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 189.18
Unexplained QUAI: 195.74
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
384.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 385 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 5:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
189.18 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
106.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
47.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
384.92 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:15:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
5,849.37 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:14:06 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
189.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:16:05 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
750.45 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:13:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:17:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:12:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:18:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:11:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x004200449df5d84501a0b2d2a24143231c53601223d0ed07206f216e5ae1cdd3
6.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x00620063551b8fcfd9bb885827aa4cf9aee1db120e8259e22e2f184723e5fdf9
8.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x007b005b5a997b498b912a37d38f3c5aaf59940ba1840bb068bf356e2f0ff6ad
8.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x002f003f95bc01969a550ecbb803f25d43e7a034cee92389b6cd1fd4a5c58d43
6.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007608f689193F9111638cE5217112D01a13fb3A
Tx: 0x005100784dd50ace043d253a6cd3a617efef554c0c6e904bf30599a5a7ad687f
47.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x00670027d486f75814c5f3ff002f3ca2ff9f022431fbf3200bb0754542990464
106.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x005e0026b99d06fb181cc599ff81050d3b3aa4e4b7c84fbe0ca2fc2cd001af96