Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 5:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 5:14:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 5:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 384.92
Unexplained QUAI: 5,464.45
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
7.8x previous minute
15x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
3
5.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
5,849.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 5849 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 5:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
384.92 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
142.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
138.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
Net sender
Unknown type
104.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 384.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
5,849.37 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:14:06 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
750.45 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:13:06 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
384.92 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:15:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:12:05 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
189.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:16:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:11:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:17:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,891.23 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:10:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
142.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:14:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
142.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:14:14 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e002998cd03f1fe035ae0c0ca057c8a68fd4db76bfa4f24e74b2bfdc1933c
104.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:14:14 P.M.
From: 0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00050011c0824db2f171a3c275d6a4c790639cae74650bc08056774b39d3b62a
138.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 5:14:14 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f002eca08d3c69610348e49251fb401a504c635a0a2eea3b57c403bde2c71