Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 4:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 4:58:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 4:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 107,835
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba • 0x002a93401d7638cb8A2a2AE82B230743eD854896.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba • 0x002a93401d7638cb8A2a2AE82B230743eD854896.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 4:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba
Net receiver
Unknown type
107,835 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a93401d7638cb8A2a2AE82B230743eD854896
Net sender
Unknown type
73,803 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029
Net sender
Unknown type
34,032 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:58:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:57:05 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
107,835 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:59:05 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
14,999.69 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:56:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:00:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:55:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 5:01:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:54:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
73,803 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:58:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a93401d7638cb8A2a2AE82B230743eD854896
To: 0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
73,803 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:58:45 P.M.
From: 0x002a93401d7638cb8A2a2AE82B230743eD854896
To: 0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba
Tx: 0x006d00770fb5d29a997ca43c9ba1f7014d707b240d8d3af93876a509f065469e
34,032 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:58:30 P.M.
From: 0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029
To: 0x0002Ca01fB9cdA9203F81b6E1406eEbFdC8fd4ba
Tx: 0x00270022d1de5ada68f026b30426711bb475f4a1e2742a0b6753ffe2d62dfa47