Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 4:40:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1.34
Unexplained QUAI: 75.52
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
57x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
1
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
76.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 77 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
76.86 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:40:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,260.37 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:39:05 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:41:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:38:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:42:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:37:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:43:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
56.95 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:36:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1.34 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:40:44 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:40:44 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002100147ca720ae410f306b71c61f9c515650042eae6e06507d8993264aeb09