Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 4:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 4:28:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 4:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 695.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
340.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 341 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 4:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
427.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
427.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
268.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037761902BB1b499880af282f01b527D3f79F50
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 427.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
340.56 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:28:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:27:05 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
695.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:29:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:26:05 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
101.74 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:30:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
75.39 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:25:05 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0.57 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:31:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 4:24:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
427.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:28:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
427.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:28:57 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e003e0afc490983f62856ec38e5c3712618b8769755e1807e0ea2156a0658
268.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 4:28:36 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0037761902BB1b499880af282f01b527D3f79F50
Tx: 0x002a00680e09bfbe649c9d037faf0c43e93623cb1b037cd83688423c895650bf