Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2.67
Unexplained QUAI: 197.33
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
75x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
200 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 200 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
Net sender
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
200 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:39:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:38:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:40:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:37:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:41:05 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
60,365.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:36:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:42:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
52.06 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:35:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1.34 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:39:47 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0020004b0a17e168c9061589addd7e309389d20fe7263e2b1eff5f561be926ea
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0067001c0301b5bb03a5bfba049b58deb593ed787d7fbf0de162a2d062bc2355