Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 3:34:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52.06
Unexplained QUAI: 15,621
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
301x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
15,673.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15673 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
52.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
15,673.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:34:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:33:05 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
52.06 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:35:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:32:05 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
60,365.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:36:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:31:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:37:05 P.M.
-4 min
10 tx
22,534.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:30:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
52.06 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:34:32 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
52.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:34:32 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
Tx: 0x00370074f2501213e7b0b17b2513a49f7c98cd2866617e6205d88081d65af1b6