Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,847.1
Unexplained QUAI: 22,907.41
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
6
26.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
28,754.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 28755 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,847.1 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
1,025.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,021.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
Net sender
Unknown type
992.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00297daee5a4999b3Db1a20a4fc5Ac0D747C1909
Net sender
Unknown type
978.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,847.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
28,754.51 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:24:06 P.M.
-1 min
11 tx
21,501.08 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:23:05 P.M.
+1 min
17 tx
14,809.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
263,552.46 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
+2 min
15 tx
11,177.69 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:26:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:21:05 P.M.
+3 min
27 tx
14,414.98 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:20:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,025.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
877.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x0049EaB9d98B6A255234ed69372Be50166dD4E08
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300512a5136c721d99f38d142b187185f150c6a0e61210c6ff55592e528cf
951.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030001123932e14d60255e06ec4334bd88d99bf695c36ac2bba7d409c5ea3a0
1,021.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a005ef1837de30cc506777dbe3e929060f171efc8ccac09968b88ddafed3e
978.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x00297daee5a4999b3Db1a20a4fc5Ac0D747C1909
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c0012da19c66682bbfdb90ff09f6958f87aa799f86119f73319f3e94b6446
1,025.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490033f0a2c003e5bdccf9bb011ea2e830b63862cd48ca8360483ae47f3c7e
992.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061000e1b7332dbeb8f52c225a536db44ba20d4fe82313ec607d28939596256