Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,501.08
Unexplained QUAI: 242,051.38
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
6.4x above local average
12x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
11
64.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
263,552.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 263552 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,501.08 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27
Net sender
Unknown type
2,309.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E019dC1f407e3Db9D929F0B5F1636c87432C3
Net sender
Unknown type
2,303.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net sender
Unknown type
2,138.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005A52BA6D0dEc9631A7Ac0Dc5bc77dd98261275
Net sender
Unknown type
2,086.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,501.08 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
263,552.46 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:21:05 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
21,501.08 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:23:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:20:05 P.M.
+2 min
23 tx
28,754.51 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:24:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:19:05 P.M.
+3 min
17 tx
14,809.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:18:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,309.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,922.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: 0x0052178a5A0403Cf2F9cbd07AC4267b87403BC51
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061006c3274913e8b58806db8744a32a59b2035b7a1baf1c3633279bc8302e3
1,628.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005004d3a824951292bfcfa7a1728ce23ea8c666b218faa70a4dce7212505cf
1,728.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: 0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0024006ebbe7199afe4e08f7c9bd195d3933c1eb1608b869959a7e59b15df08c
1,759.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: 0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c002fe4fa5107baf2fe3d6a656e518889fdd7092c7741fcf6a1b329245289
1,625.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072002971d2d1f1cfcbd47b1f3217b0031a57b2e31fcbf62606f4be0af781b6
1,971.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004Ed2aD1228f815B4A18177B4dEc58ba8010f48
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074004f78644bc60cff27cd49b6abd705db9c6d0a5475473dd613f872fe1a58
2,138.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d007d80c0e782cf3d486c02890157ede1d2ea6e65a784e9d82d90e6a0245c
2,025.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076002221cc0ea9dbcc4aa4fabb267b8ee3d76d8a66682dafef40d9ab8efcb2
2,086.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x005A52BA6D0dEc9631A7Ac0Dc5bc77dd98261275
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035002a937eca886d4c0c4713a521cc81f156ce95a0c23ea321672699aa64cd
2,309.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006600598ceaa6b60ecb57e9f7287bba723a32cc7ac4561d10f7c31417e5e968
2,303.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x007E019dC1f407e3Db9D929F0B5F1636c87432C3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00163c1d6ef00347d30fa0bc74ec1b94b91fff442d767fbc56a65c78156b
