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Spike bucket

07/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

6% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 250.41

Unexplained QUAI: 4,219.89

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume

Relative context

6.1x above local average

18x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

10.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

4,470.3 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x003f57c3740e3B89720Bfda9eddabA8D61f0e729 • 0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 4470 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x003f57c3740e3B89720Bfda9eddabA8D61f0e729 • 0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.

Coverage gap high (94% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.

Top actors in this event

StratumX miner

Net sender

Miner wallet

189.02 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57

Net receiver

Unknown type

189.02 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

60.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135

Net receiver

Unknown type

46.42 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC

Net receiver

Unknown type

7.18 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 50. The remaining 45 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.