Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,184.73
Unexplained QUAI: 43.65
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
209x previous minute
15955x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
32,228.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32228 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
32,182.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
17,182.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Net sender
Unknown type
2.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
Net sender
Unknown type
2.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 32,182.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
32,228.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:41:05 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
154.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:40:13 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:42:14 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:39:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:43:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:38:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:44:13 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:37:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,182.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:47 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x004b003cd21137b572f68c9f3a5259dc9c6f13faed1c0117bf157c34f3e69326
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
Tx: 0x000b003ea128622a1e616aac904bb2542a4c641cee4662d89e95c0f74e1cec98
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x007b0019191eb2642242dcbb12a8b5286a81f4ce9d9223aa76303c4a888384fd
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:09 P.M.
From: 0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
To: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Tx: 0x003f000fc43699beb5a6a1e19dacb80c1eadd08920d1b5af90d44ad6be60c24f
17,182.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053006d343229831346ccfbdab9af061a183b8e123d089ab2af6ff38897b821
14,999.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e005aa9d5a129306b946ff56c6754087075806251641d14bff792ec09cf43