Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
30% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45.67
Unexplained QUAI: 108.53
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
154.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 154 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
31.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
11.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Net sender
Unknown type
2.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
154.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:40:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:39:13 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
32,228.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:41:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:38:13 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:42:14 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:37:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:43:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:36:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,182.96 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
31.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:40:47 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0068003074fe21817164976b3f7e5a0dae818798d866367f56738b4228f887c4
11.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:40:47 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a005a8d11cee9590041fb4f77d84a72100e0cdfd8fab7e8d498fb75a96275
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:40:47 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x00484C2ED970434A63dF6D39d0DDE873Ee179E9C
Tx: 0x0005006bcc957840650f581887cea7c469a0b15fe731b8ebaa9a5df3378528b7
0.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:40:47 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x001b007e12a581f8cf2d8aedda33b03d46bd1e31d82e455552e440794e92574f