Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,483.12
Unexplained QUAI: 2,334.47
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
2.6x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
47
Observable rows
5
10.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
55
Asset volume
3,817.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 3818 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,483.12 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,022.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
Net sender
Unknown type
130.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
115.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
109.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,483.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate47 tx
3,817.6 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:14:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:13:13 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,483.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:15:13 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,999.74 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:16:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:11:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:17:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:10:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,022.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
105.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c006f007fa9a65902f43ef32f77784677522ef3ce413a66c6302bfc80c6cd
115.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0045561a51da7477fa829dc1c321d959b973ce9ca6d0bd46df400090b020
130.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f00086647e59d80a5527cc4b3e8a8b798bbabb6b932df054fa21dca1e912c
1,022.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0014ec32b0f83f84bd726dc7f2d551491a238e36fc011175708f8fd728ce
109.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001700516f70cb974e9cca1d74cccc7401b18e77ac16f431217682218d70b58a